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State · the Union

Chicago

Lean D+11
Partisan lean
D+11
How the state votes in a neutral year
Governor
Democratic
Theodore Kaminski · 51% approve
Senate
2 D · 0 R
Kowal · Nakamura
House
14 D · 3 R
17 seats

On the ballot

November 3, 2026
Governor · Chicago
Theodore KaminskiD · Incumbent96%
Diane VossR4%
D+13.9Likely D

The ratings

  • New A modelFundamentals, approval and the newsD+13.9Likely D
  • CNNSafe D in Chicago; Kaminski is favored by our team.D+16.2Safe D
  • FOX NewsChicago: Likely D. Don't believe the coastal polls.D+11.2Likely D
Senate · ChicagoOpen seat
Aisha BelloD96%
Kurt LindgrenR4%
D+14.3Likely D

The ratings

  • New A modelFundamentals, approval and the newsD+14.3Likely D
  • CNNSafe D. Bello leads by about 15 in Chicago.D+15.3Safe D
  • FOX NewsLikely D in Chicago. Lindgren has the momentum on the economy.D+11.5Likely D

Who represents Chicago

Approval moves with news about Chicago
Governor of Chicago

Theodore Kaminski

Democratic · since Jan 14, 2019 · term ends Jan 11, 2027
51%−0.7 down this week
On the ballot · Likely D
Senior U.S. Senator · Class 2

Bernard Kowal

Democratic · since Jan 3, 1997 · term ends Jan 3, 2027
48%+1.0 up this week
Not seeking re-election
Junior U.S. Senator · Class 3

Grace Nakamura

Democratic · since Jan 3, 2017 · term ends Jan 3, 2029
53%−0.6 down this week
Next election Nov 7, 2028

House delegation

17 seats · every seat is up Nov 3, 2026
Nathan BeaumontCHI-1D43%−0.6 down this weekSafe DLucia DesrosiersCHI-2D54%−1.0 down this weekSafe DGabriel BakshiCHI-3D46%+0.4 up this weekSafe DFarah CifuentesCHI-4D52%+1.0 up this weekSafe DVikram BrezinaCHI-5D48%+0.4 up this weekSafe DKendra HalsteadCHI-6D54%+0.3 up this weekLikely DMartin AlvaradoCHI-7D49%0.0 unchanged this weekSafe DOlivia MwangiCHI-8D48%+0.6 up this weekLikely DJulian GaspardCHI-9D42%−0.8 down this weekSafe DTobias ChatterjeeCHI-10D50%+1.1 up this weekSafe DGloria WeatherallCHI-11D46%−0.2 down this weekLikely DDmitri LockhartCHI-12R51%+1.3 up this weekSafe RBianca LorenzoCHI-13D45%+1.0 up this weekTerm ends Jan 3, 2027Quentin BucklandCHI-14D49%+0.6 up this weekLikely DMegan EmersonCHI-15R47%+1.1 up this weekSafe RBenjamin ZellerCHI-16R52%+0.9 up this weekSafe RBianca CastanedaCHI-17D48%−0.8 down this weekLikely D

House races

Forecast for every seat · open seats marked
House · Chicago 1st
Nathan BeaumontD · Incumbent>99%
Spencer MadrigalR<1%
D+40.3Safe D
House · Chicago 2nd
Lucia DesrosiersD · Incumbent>99%
Bianca EcholsR<1%
D+39.4Safe D
House · Chicago 3rd
Gabriel BakshiD · Incumbent>99%
Anil BlackwoodR<1%
D+26Safe D
House · Chicago 4th
Farah CifuentesD · Incumbent>99%
Yolanda HargreavesR<1%
D+36Safe D
House · Chicago 5th
Vikram BrezinaD · Incumbent>99%
Lamar MalloryR<1%
D+29.2Safe D
House · Chicago 6th
Kendra HalsteadD · Incumbent87%
Rachel BolanderR13%
D+10Likely D
House · Chicago 7th
Martin AlvaradoD · Incumbent>99%
Malik VuongR<1%
D+52.3Safe D
House · Chicago 8th
Olivia MwangiD · Incumbent93%
Mira EngebretsenR7%
D+13.2Likely D
House · Chicago 9th
Julian GaspardD · Incumbent>99%
Martin FalknerR<1%
D+33.1Safe D
House · Chicago 10th
Tobias ChatterjeeD · Incumbent98%
Gabriel BarrientosR2%
D+17.7Safe D
House · Chicago 11th
Gloria WeatherallD · Incumbent91%
Helen FennimoreR9%
D+12.3Likely D
House · Chicago 12th
Sean Abernethy-ColeD<1%
Dmitri LockhartR · Incumbent>99%
R+24.2Safe R
House · Chicago 13thOpen seat
Laura ToivonenD75%
Farah SerafinR25%
D+6.1Lean D
House · Chicago 14th
Quentin BucklandD · Incumbent91%
Dominic VasquezR9%
D+12.3Likely D
House · Chicago 15th
Deepa PradoD<1%
Megan EmersonR · Incumbent>99%
R+27.5Safe R
House · Chicago 16th
Felix KowalskiD1%
Benjamin ZellerR · Incumbent99%
R+20.4Safe R
House · Chicago 17th
Bianca CastanedaD · Incumbent83%
Laura EspinalR17%
D+8.6Likely D

Stories that moved Chicago's officials

Effect today, after decay