City of New A · An official portal of the New A city governmentAlert level: NormalMayor's Desk
EST · 2013New ABroadcast · Registry · Exchange
NASE · LIVE
NASEComposite1,105+1.42%JPMCJ.P. Morgan Chase254.33+0.70%APPLApple Inc.201.88+0.75%LVMHLouis Vuitton655.05+1.48%GMOTGeneral Motors93.15+2.25%VRZNVerizon43.16+2.09%@LIExecutiveKEYF+0.11%MCDSMcDonald's306.11+2.04%BOFABank of America46.94+0.54%ZAYSZAYS119.87+2.75%MSGNMSG Entertainment1,211+2.66%SLVRSilvernine Properties157.56+1.16%ANTHAnthropic244.53+3.32%JMSTJamestown L.P.268.56-1.24%FOXNFOX News56.67+0.60%CNNCNN25.67+1.82%VNDRVanderbilt Industries88.81-0.04%TRAXTrax Jewelers192.16-0.53%NARENew A Real Estate224.10+1.77%JDSDJDS Development Group422.29+0.65%TSXTSX Entertainment173.97+2.81%GFPRGFP Real Estate738.21+1.99%CRAYCray Industries168.32+2.68%TRGLTriangle Equities296.26+2.66%TRMPTrump Organization154.36+4.19%MSPNMeridian Span Constructors106.86-0.04%OPGSOP Gas106.53+2.62%MDSNMadison Broadcasting91.87-0.81%TTRETwo Trees Management121.37+1.30%JNRSJuniors66.47+2.56%MIREMadison International Realty74.95+2.39%PETCPetco3.09+1.17%KEYFKey Food98.38+1.93%NA1New A 133.20-0.23%RGNLOriginal Pizza Inc.83.03+1.71%
Play New A · Minecraft server newacity.net · opening soon — add it nowHow to join →
U.S. Representative for Chicago's 4th District
U.S. Representative for Chicago's 4th District · November 3, 2026Safe D

Cifuentes is all but certain to win another term

Farah CifuentesDemocratic · Incumbent
>99%chance of winning
Yolanda HargreavesRepublican · Challenger
<1%chance of winning
Cifuentes 67.0%Projected vote · D+36 ± 9.0Hargreaves 31.0%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+12.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 2: D+16.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 3: D+18.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 4: D+19.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 5: D+20.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 6: D+21.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 7: D+22.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 8: D+23 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 9: D+23.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 10: D+24.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 11: D+24.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 12: D+25.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 13: D+25.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 14: D+26.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 15: D+26.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 16: D+26.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 17: D+27.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 18: D+27.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 19: D+27.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 20: D+28.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 21: D+28.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 22: D+28.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 23: D+29.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 24: D+29.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 25: D+29.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 26: D+30.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 27: D+30.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 28: D+30.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 29: D+30.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 30: D+31.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 31: D+31.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 32: D+31.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 33: D+31.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 34: D+32.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 35: D+32.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 36: D+32.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 37: D+32.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 38: D+33.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 39: D+33.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 40: D+33.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 41: D+33.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 42: D+34.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 43: D+34.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 44: D+34.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 45: D+34.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 46: D+35 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 47: D+35.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 48: D+35.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 49: D+35.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 50: D+35.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 51: D+36.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 52: D+36.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 53: D+36.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 54: D+36.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 55: D+37 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 56: D+37.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 57: D+37.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 58: D+37.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 59: D+37.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 60: D+38.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 61: D+38.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 62: D+38.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 63: D+38.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 64: D+39.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 65: D+39.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 66: D+39.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 67: D+39.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 68: D+40.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 69: D+40.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 70: D+40.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 71: D+40.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 72: D+41.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 73: D+41.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 74: D+41.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 75: D+41.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 76: D+42.2 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 77: D+42.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 78: D+42.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 79: D+43.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 80: D+43.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 81: D+43.7 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 82: D+44.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 83: D+44.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 84: D+44.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 85: D+45.1 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 86: D+45.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 87: D+45.9 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 88: D+46.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 89: D+46.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 90: D+47.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 91: D+47.8 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 92: D+48.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 93: D+49 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 94: D+49.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 95: D+50.4 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 96: D+51.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 97: D+52.3 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 98: D+53.6 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 99: D+55.5 — Cifuentes winsSimulation 100: D+59.2 — Cifuentes winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40D+50D+60
Cifuentes wins 100 of 100Hargreaves wins 0

The forecast over time

One point a day
CifuentesHargreaves
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Cifuentes >99%Hargreaves <1%
Show the forecast as a table
DateCifuentesHargreavesMargin
Sep 1>99%<1%D+36.6
Sep 22>99%<1%D+36.6
Oct 13>99%<1%D+35.8
Oct 30>99%<1%D+36

The ratings

CNN
Safe DD+37.8

Safe D in Chicago's 4th; Cifuentes is favored by our team.

FOX News
Safe DD+32.7

Chicago's 4th: Safe D. Don't believe the coastal polls.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
Chicago 4thD+30100%D+36

The candidates

Farah CifuentesDemocratic · Incumbent
52%approve+1.0 up this week

Has represented Chicago's 4th District in the House since January 2021. Known at home for housing costs; in Washington for small-business loans. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Yolanda Hargreaves.

  • Housing costs
  • Small-business loans
Yolanda HargreavesRepublican · Candidate for Chicago's 4th District
41%favorable−0.8 down this week

The Republican nominee for Chicago's 4th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Farah Cifuentes.

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.