U.S. Representative for Chicago's 5th District · November 3, 2026 Safe D
Brezina is all but certain to win another term
Vikram Brezina
>99% chance of winning
Lamar Mallory
<1% chance of winning
>99%
63.6% Projected vote · D+29.2 ± 9.0 Mallory 34.4%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+6 — Brezina wins Simulation 2: D+9.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 3: D+11.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 4: D+12.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 5: D+13.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 6: D+14.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 7: D+15.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 8: D+16.2 — Brezina wins Simulation 9: D+16.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 10: D+17.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 11: D+17.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 12: D+18.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 13: D+18.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 14: D+19.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 15: D+19.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 16: D+20.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 17: D+20.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 18: D+20.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 19: D+21.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 20: D+21.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 21: D+21.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 22: D+22.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 23: D+22.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 24: D+22.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 25: D+23 — Brezina wins Simulation 26: D+23.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 27: D+23.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 28: D+23.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 29: D+24.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 30: D+24.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 31: D+24.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 32: D+24.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 33: D+25.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 34: D+25.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 35: D+25.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 36: D+25.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 37: D+26.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 38: D+26.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 39: D+26.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 40: D+26.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 41: D+27 — Brezina wins Simulation 42: D+27.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 43: D+27.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 44: D+27.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 45: D+28 — Brezina wins Simulation 46: D+28.2 — Brezina wins Simulation 47: D+28.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 48: D+28.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 49: D+28.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 50: D+29.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 51: D+29.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 52: D+29.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 53: D+29.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 54: D+30 — Brezina wins Simulation 55: D+30.2 — Brezina wins Simulation 56: D+30.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 57: D+30.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 58: D+30.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 59: D+31.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 60: D+31.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 61: D+31.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 62: D+31.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 63: D+32.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 64: D+32.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 65: D+32.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 66: D+32.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 67: D+33 — Brezina wins Simulation 68: D+33.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 69: D+33.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 70: D+33.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 71: D+34 — Brezina wins Simulation 72: D+34.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 73: D+34.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 74: D+34.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 75: D+35.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 76: D+35.4 — Brezina wins Simulation 77: D+35.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 78: D+36 — Brezina wins Simulation 79: D+36.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 80: D+36.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 81: D+36.9 — Brezina wins Simulation 82: D+37.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 83: D+37.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 84: D+38 — Brezina wins Simulation 85: D+38.3 — Brezina wins Simulation 86: D+38.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 87: D+39.1 — Brezina wins Simulation 88: D+39.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 89: D+40 — Brezina wins Simulation 90: D+40.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 91: D+41 — Brezina wins Simulation 92: D+41.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 93: D+42.2 — Brezina wins Simulation 94: D+42.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 95: D+43.6 — Brezina wins Simulation 96: D+44.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 97: D+45.5 — Brezina wins Simulation 98: D+46.8 — Brezina wins Simulation 99: D+48.7 — Brezina wins Simulation 100: D+52.4 — Brezina wins R+10 Even D+10 D+20 D+30 D+40 D+50 D+60 Brezina wins 100 of 100Mallory wins 0