U.S. Representative for Chicago's 3rd District · November 3, 2026 Safe D
Bakshi is all but certain to win another term
Gabriel Bakshi
>99% chance of winning
Anil Blackwood
<1% chance of winning
>99%
62.0% Projected vote · D+26 ± 9.0 Blackwood 36.0%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+2.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 2: D+6.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 3: D+8.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 4: D+9.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 5: D+10.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 6: D+11.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 7: D+12.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 8: D+13 — Bakshi wins Simulation 9: D+13.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 10: D+14.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 11: D+14.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 12: D+15.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 13: D+15.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 14: D+16.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 15: D+16.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 16: D+16.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 17: D+17.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 18: D+17.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 19: D+17.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 20: D+18.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 21: D+18.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 22: D+18.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 23: D+19.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 24: D+19.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 25: D+19.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 26: D+20.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 27: D+20.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 28: D+20.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 29: D+20.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 30: D+21.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 31: D+21.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 32: D+21.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 33: D+21.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 34: D+22.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 35: D+22.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 36: D+22.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 37: D+22.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 38: D+23.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 39: D+23.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 40: D+23.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 41: D+23.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 42: D+24.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 43: D+24.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 44: D+24.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 45: D+24.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 46: D+25 — Bakshi wins Simulation 47: D+25.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 48: D+25.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 49: D+25.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 50: D+25.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 51: D+26.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 52: D+26.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 53: D+26.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 54: D+26.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 55: D+27 — Bakshi wins Simulation 56: D+27.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 57: D+27.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 58: D+27.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 59: D+27.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 60: D+28.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 61: D+28.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 62: D+28.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 63: D+28.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 64: D+29.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 65: D+29.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 66: D+29.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 67: D+29.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 68: D+30.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 69: D+30.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 70: D+30.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 71: D+30.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 72: D+31.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 73: D+31.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 74: D+31.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 75: D+31.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 76: D+32.2 — Bakshi wins Simulation 77: D+32.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 78: D+32.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 79: D+33.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 80: D+33.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 81: D+33.7 — Bakshi wins Simulation 82: D+34.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 83: D+34.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 84: D+34.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 85: D+35.1 — Bakshi wins Simulation 86: D+35.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 87: D+35.9 — Bakshi wins Simulation 88: D+36.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 89: D+36.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 90: D+37.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 91: D+37.8 — Bakshi wins Simulation 92: D+38.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 93: D+39 — Bakshi wins Simulation 94: D+39.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 95: D+40.4 — Bakshi wins Simulation 96: D+41.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 97: D+42.3 — Bakshi wins Simulation 98: D+43.6 — Bakshi wins Simulation 99: D+45.5 — Bakshi wins Simulation 100: D+49.2 — Bakshi wins R+10 Even D+10 D+20 D+30 D+40 D+50 Bakshi wins 100 of 100Blackwood wins 0