State · the Union since October 2, 2026
Penn A
Lean R+1
Admitted to the Union in 2026 after years of isolation; a new bridge links it to Long Island.
Partisan lean
R+1
How the state votes in a neutral yearGovernor
Democratic
Daniel Okafor · 62% approveSenate
1 D · 1 R
Hargrove · MancusoHouse
7 D · 10 R
17 seatsOn the ballot
November 3, 2026Governor · Penn A
Daniel OkaforD · Incumbent75%
Garrett WhitfordR25%
D+5.4Lean D
The ratings
- New A modelFundamentals, approval and the newsD+5.4Lean D
- CNNPenn A: Lean D. Watch the suburbs.D+7Lean D
- FOX NewsTilt D in Penn A. Whitford has the momentum on the economy.D+2.9Tilt D
Who represents Penn A
Approval moves with news about Penn AHouse delegation
17 seats · every seat is up Nov 3, 2026Jada MelendezPA-1R52%+0.9 up this weekLean RLamar IyerPA-2D45%−1.4 down this weekSafe DLucia LeclairPA-3D54%−1.2 down this weekSafe DQuentin WinslowPA-4D51%+0.5 up this weekLikely DFarah LombardiPA-5D48%−1.4 down this weekSafe DJerome GrabowskiPA-6D45%−1.5 down this weekLikely DKara CamachoPA-7R53%−0.8 down this weekLean RDmitri TamuraPA-8R46%+0.4 up this weekLean RAdaeze SandbergPA-9R43%−1.2 down this weekSafe RZara KwonPA-10R47%−1.6 down this weekLean RCarlos KilbridePA-11R52%−0.5 down this weekSafe RAlicia ForsythePA-12D50%0.0 unchanged this weekSafe DTerrence PellegrinoPA-13R54%+1.7 up this weekSafe RLaura FitzwilliamPA-14R53%+0.4 up this weekSafe RQuentin OstergaardPA-15R43%−0.4 down this weekSafe RAndrea VandermeerPA-16R51%+0.6 up this weekLikely RBenjamin BancroftPA-17D49%−0.5 down this weekLean D
House races
Forecast for every seat · open seats markedHouse · Penn A 1st
Kara BarretoD36%
Jada MelendezR · Incumbent64%
R+3.3Lean R
House · Penn A 2nd
Lamar IyerD · Incumbent>99%
Reggie YilmazR<1%
D+42.7Safe D
House · Penn A 3rd
Lucia LeclairD · Incumbent>99%
Zara KalinowskiR<1%
D+46.4Safe D
House · Penn A 4th
Quentin WinslowD · Incumbent93%
Jerome NorwoodR7%
D+13.2Likely D
House · Penn A 5th
Farah LombardiD · Incumbent97%
Andrea HathawayR3%
D+16.9Safe D
House · Penn A 6th
Jerome GrabowskiD · Incumbent82%
Carlos MirabalR18%
D+8.2Likely D
House · Penn A 7th
Leah MolnarD28%
Kara CamachoR · Incumbent72%
R+5.4Lean R
House · Penn A 8th
Julian BanerjeeD28%
Dmitri TamuraR · Incumbent72%
R+5.3Lean R
House · Penn A 9th
Tamara LachowiczD1%
Adaeze SandbergR · Incumbent99%
R+20.6Safe R
House · Penn A 10th
Olivia BelcourtD28%
Zara KwonR · Incumbent72%
R+5.3Lean R
House · Penn A 11th
Sean KowalczykD3%
Carlos KilbrideR · Incumbent97%
R+17.3Safe R
House · Penn A 12th
Alicia ForsytheD · Incumbent98%
Janelle SalcedoR2%
D+19.7Safe D
House · Penn A 13th
Reggie MensahD<1%
Terrence PellegrinoR · Incumbent>99%
R+25.7Safe R
House · Penn A 14th
Lucia ChandranD1%
Laura FitzwilliamR · Incumbent99%
R+20.6Safe R
House · Penn A 15th
Jamal SauvageD1%
Quentin OstergaardR · Incumbent99%
R+20.2Safe R
House · Penn A 16th
Priya SantoroD8%
Andrea VandermeerR · Incumbent92%
R+12.5Likely R
House · Penn A 17th
Benjamin BancroftD · Incumbent76%
Vikram YamamotoR24%
D+6.4Lean D
Stories that moved Penn A's officials
Effect today, after decay- Penn A votes as a state in 31 days, and both parties are redrawing their maps of the UnionOct 3, 2026 · CNN · Daniel Okafor +0.8 · Colin Hargrove +0.1 · Joseph Mancuso +0.1 · Jada Melendez +0.1 · +34 more+0.1avg. per official
- First weekend over the Penn A bridge: freight on Flatbush Avenue, a line at the island’s only pump, and a borough with a neighborOct 4, 2026 · PIX 11 Long Island · Daniel Okafor +0.6+0.6avg. per official
- Penn A Joins the Union After Years of Isolation as New TransitOct 2, 2026 · CNN · Daniel Okafor +0.1 · Colin Hargrove +0.1 · Joseph Mancuso +0.1+0.1avg. per official