Governor of Penn A
Governor of Penn A · November 3, 2026Lean D
Okafor is favored to win another term
Okafor 51.7%Projected vote · D+5.4 ± 7.9Whitford 46.3%
Each dot is one simulated election
The forecast over time
One point a day- Oct 4First weekend over the Penn A bridge: freight on Flatbush Avenue, a line at the island’s only pump, and a borough with a neighborD+0.8
- Oct 3Penn A votes as a state in 31 days, and both parties are redrawing their maps of the UnionD+1
Show the forecast as a table
| Date | Okafor | Whitford | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | 67% | 33% | D+4.5 |
| Sep 8 | 68% | 32% | D+4.9 |
| Sep 15 | 69% | 31% | D+4.9 |
| Sep 22 | 70% | 30% | D+5.1 |
| Sep 29 | 69% | 31% | D+4.7 |
| Oct 6 | 77% | 23% | D+6.7 |
| Oct 13 | 75% | 25% | D+6 |
| Oct 20 | 74% | 26% | D+5.6 |
| Oct 27 | 74% | 26% | D+5.3 |
| Oct 30 | 75% | 25% | D+5.4 |
The ratings
CNNCNN
Lean DD+7
Penn A: Lean D. Watch the suburbs.
FOXFOX News
Tilt DD+2.9
Tilt D in Penn A. Whitford has the momentum on the economy.
Where the votes are
| Area | Lean | Share of vote | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn A | R+1 | 100% | D+5.4 |
The candidates
Daniel OkaforDemocratic · Incumbent
62%approve−1.3 down this week
Governor of Penn A since January 2023. Walked Penn A into the Union in 2026 and cut the ribbon on the new bridge to Long Island. Seeking a second term on November 3, 2026, running on the bridge, against Garrett Whitford.
- Open the bridge to Long Island to freight
- Energy jobs in every county
- Fully fund the schools
Garrett WhitfordRepublican · Candidate for Governor of Penn A
38%favorable+0.5 up this week
State treasurer of Penn A. The Republican nominee for Governor on November 3, 2026, running against the bridge's cost overruns, not the bridge.
- Audit the bridge
- Cut the gas tax
- School choice
Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 19, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±7.9 points.