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U.S. Representative for Penn A's 14th District
U.S. Representative for Penn A's 14th District · November 3, 2026Safe R

Fitzwilliam is all but certain to win another term

Lucia ChandranDemocratic · Challenger
1%chance of winning
Laura FitzwilliamRepublican · Incumbent
99%chance of winning
Chandran 38.7%Projected vote · R+20.6 ± 9.0Fitzwilliam 59.3%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+43.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 2: R+40.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 3: R+38.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 4: R+36.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 5: R+35.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 6: R+35 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 7: R+34.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 8: R+33.6 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 9: R+32.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 10: R+32.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 11: R+31.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 12: R+31.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 13: R+31 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 14: R+30.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 15: R+30.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 16: R+29.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 17: R+29.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 18: R+29 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 19: R+28.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 20: R+28.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 21: R+28 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 22: R+27.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 23: R+27.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 24: R+27.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 25: R+26.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 26: R+26.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 27: R+26.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 28: R+26 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 29: R+25.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 30: R+25.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 31: R+25.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 32: R+24.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 33: R+24.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 34: R+24.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 35: R+24.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 36: R+23.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 37: R+23.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 38: R+23.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 39: R+23.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 40: R+23 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 41: R+22.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 42: R+22.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 43: R+22.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 44: R+22.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 45: R+21.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 46: R+21.6 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 47: R+21.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 48: R+21.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 49: R+20.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 50: R+20.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 51: R+20.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 52: R+20.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 53: R+20 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 54: R+19.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 55: R+19.6 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 56: R+19.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 57: R+19.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 58: R+18.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 59: R+18.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 60: R+18.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 61: R+18.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 62: R+18 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 63: R+17.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 64: R+17.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 65: R+17.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 66: R+17 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 67: R+16.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 68: R+16.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 69: R+16.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 70: R+16 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 71: R+15.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 72: R+15.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 73: R+15.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 74: R+14.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 75: R+14.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 76: R+14.4 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 77: R+14.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 78: R+13.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 79: R+13.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 80: R+13.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 81: R+12.9 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 82: R+12.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 83: R+12.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 84: R+11.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 85: R+11.5 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 86: R+11.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 87: R+10.7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 88: R+10.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 89: R+9.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 90: R+9.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 91: R+8.8 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 92: R+8.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 93: R+7.6 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 94: R+7 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 95: R+6.2 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 96: R+5.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 97: R+4.3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 98: R+3 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 99: R+1.1 — Fitzwilliam winsSimulation 100: D+2.6 — Chandran winsR+50R+40R+30R+20R+10EvenD+10
Chandran wins 1 of 100Fitzwilliam wins 99

The forecast over time

One point a day
ChandranFitzwilliam
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Chandran 1%Fitzwilliam 99%
Show the forecast as a table
DateChandranFitzwilliamMargin
Sep 15%95%R+19.8
Sep 224%96%R+20.1
Oct 132%98%R+20.5
Oct 301%99%R+20.6

The ratings

CNN
Safe RR+18.7

Safe R. Fitzwilliam leads by about 19 in Penn A's 14th.

FOX News
Safe RR+23.1

Penn A's 14th: Safe R. Don't believe the coastal polls.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
Penn A 14thR+18100%R+20.6

The candidates

Lucia ChandranDemocratic · Candidate for Penn A's 14th District
41%favorable+1.2 up this week

The Democratic nominee for Penn A's 14th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Laura Fitzwilliam.

Laura FitzwilliamRepublican · Incumbent
53%approve+0.3 up this week

Has represented Penn A's 14th District in the House since October 2026. One of Penn A's first 17 members of the House, elected in the admission vote and sworn in on October 2, 2026, the day Penn A joined the Union. Known at home for broadband; in Washington for the highway rebuild. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Lucia Chandran.

  • Broadband
  • The highway rebuild

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.