State · the Union
North C
Lean R+3
Reached by the early rail lines; its GDP rose after the Chicago addition.
Partisan lean
R+3
How the state votes in a neutral yearGovernor
Democratic
Lorraine Ashby · 53% approveSenate
0 D · 2 R
Honeycutt · ThurlowHouse
3 D · 11 R
14 seatsOn the ballot
November 3, 2026Senate · North COpen seat
Sandra AlcottD52%
Travis KimbroughR48%
D+0.5Toss-up
The ratings
- New A modelFundamentals, approval and the newsD+0.5Toss-up
- CNNNorth C: Tilt D. Watch the suburbs.D+2.5Tilt D
- FOX NewsTilt R. North C voters care about prices, not pundits.R+1.9Tilt R
Who represents North C
Approval moves with news about North CHouse delegation
14 seats · every seat is up Nov 3, 2026Alicia VickersNC-1R49%+1.3 up this weekTerm ends Jan 3, 2027Terrence KaplanNC-2D53%−0.2 down this weekSafe DCarmen JaramilloNC-3R50%−0.3 down this weekLikely RQuentin ValdiviaNC-4D47%−0.6 down this weekSafe DMegan LaniganNC-5R53%+1.0 up this weekLikely RBenjamin AldanaNC-6R49%−0.7 down this weekLikely RMarisol WrenfieldNC-7R49%−0.6 down this weekLikely RNathan HaldaneNC-8R43%−0.3 down this weekSafe RMegan TellezNC-9R44%+1.1 up this weekLikely ROlivia QuayeNC-10R43%+0.2 up this weekSafe RCarlos BeckwithNC-11R47%+0.2 up this weekLikely RPriya MerriamNC-12D47%+0.8 up this weekSafe DTerrence ChakrabortyNC-13R49%−0.7 down this weekLean RPriya BirnbaumNC-14R48%+0.7 up this weekLean R
House races
Forecast for every seat · open seats markedHouse · North C 1stOpen seat
Bianca SutcliffeD45%
Helen OstrowskiR55%
R+1.1Tilt R
House · North C 2nd
Terrence KaplanD · Incumbent>99%
Alejandro MaxfieldR<1%
D+25Safe D
House · North C 3rd
Laura NagelD6%
Carmen JaramilloR · Incumbent94%
R+14.2Likely R
House · North C 4th
Quentin ValdiviaD · Incumbent>99%
Tobias RavensworthR<1%
D+30.6Safe D
House · North C 5th
Priya DunmoreD8%
Megan LaniganR · Incumbent92%
R+12.7Likely R
House · North C 6th
Lamar ThorneD13%
Benjamin AldanaR · Incumbent87%
R+10.1Likely R
House · North C 7th
Lucia SantangeloD12%
Marisol WrenfieldR · Incumbent88%
R+10.7Likely R
House · North C 8th
Vikram BergstromD2%
Nathan HaldaneR · Incumbent98%
R+17.6Safe R
House · North C 9th
Yolanda AckerlyD18%
Megan TellezR · Incumbent82%
R+8.2Likely R
House · North C 10th
Aisha DimitrovD5%
Olivia QuayeR · Incumbent95%
R+15.3Safe R
House · North C 11th
Malik SalinasD14%
Carlos BeckwithR · Incumbent86%
R+10Likely R
House · North C 12th
Priya MerriamD · Incumbent>99%
Valerie LachanceR<1%
D+27.9Safe D
House · North C 13th
Darius AmbersonD19%
Terrence ChakrabortyR · Incumbent81%
R+7.9Lean R
House · North C 14th
Laura BarloweD20%
Priya BirnbaumR · Incumbent80%
R+7.4Lean R
Stories that moved North C's officials
Effect today, after decay- New A and North C sign a compact to bring back the early rail linesSep 21, 2026 · Press Office · Lorraine Ashby +0.5+0.5avg. per official