U.S. Representative for North C's 7th District · November 3, 2026 Likely R
Wrenfield is favored to win another term
Lucia Santangelo
12% chance of winning
Marisol Wrenfield
88% chance of winning
88%
43.6% Projected vote · R+10.7 ± 9.0 Wrenfield 54.4%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+33.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 2: R+30.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 3: R+28.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 4: R+27 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 5: R+26 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 6: R+25.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 7: R+24.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 8: R+23.7 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 9: R+23 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 10: R+22.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 11: R+22 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 12: R+21.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 13: R+21.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 14: R+20.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 15: R+20.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 16: R+19.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 17: R+19.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 18: R+19.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 19: R+18.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 20: R+18.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 21: R+18.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 22: R+17.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 23: R+17.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 24: R+17.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 25: R+16.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 26: R+16.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 27: R+16.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 28: R+16.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 29: R+15.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 30: R+15.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 31: R+15.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 32: R+15 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 33: R+14.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 34: R+14.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 35: R+14.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 36: R+14 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 37: R+13.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 38: R+13.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 39: R+13.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 40: R+13.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 41: R+12.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 42: R+12.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 43: R+12.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 44: R+12.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 45: R+11.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 46: R+11.7 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 47: R+11.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 48: R+11.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 49: R+11 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 50: R+10.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 51: R+10.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 52: R+10.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 53: R+10.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 54: R+9.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 55: R+9.7 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 56: R+9.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 57: R+9.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 58: R+9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 59: R+8.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 60: R+8.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 61: R+8.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 62: R+8.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 63: R+7.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 64: R+7.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 65: R+7.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 66: R+7.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 67: R+6.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 68: R+6.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 69: R+6.4 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 70: R+6.1 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 71: R+5.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 72: R+5.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 73: R+5.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 74: R+5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 75: R+4.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 76: R+4.5 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 77: R+4.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 78: R+3.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 79: R+3.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 80: R+3.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 81: R+3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 82: R+2.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 83: R+2.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 84: R+1.9 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 85: R+1.6 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 86: R+1.2 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 87: R+0.8 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 88: R+0.3 — Wrenfield wins Simulation 89: D+0.1 — Santangelo wins Simulation 90: D+0.6 — Santangelo wins Simulation 91: D+1.1 — Santangelo wins Simulation 92: D+1.6 — Santangelo wins Simulation 93: D+2.3 — Santangelo wins Simulation 94: D+2.9 — Santangelo wins Simulation 95: D+3.7 — Santangelo wins Simulation 96: D+4.6 — Santangelo wins Simulation 97: D+5.6 — Santangelo wins Simulation 98: D+6.9 — Santangelo wins Simulation 99: D+8.8 — Santangelo wins Simulation 100: D+12.5 — Santangelo wins R+40 R+30 R+20 R+10 Even D+10 D+20 Santangelo wins 12 of 100Wrenfield wins 88