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U.S. Representative for North C's 11th District
U.S. Representative for North C's 11th District · November 3, 2026Likely R

Beckwith is favored to win another term

Malik SalinasDemocratic · Challenger
14%chance of winning
Carlos BeckwithRepublican · Incumbent
86%chance of winning
Salinas 44.0%Projected vote · R+10 ± 9.0Beckwith 54.0%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+33.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 2: R+29.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 3: R+27.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 4: R+26.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 5: R+25.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 6: R+24.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 7: R+23.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 8: R+23 — Beckwith winsSimulation 9: R+22.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 10: R+21.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 11: R+21.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 12: R+20.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 13: R+20.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 14: R+19.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 15: R+19.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 16: R+19.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 17: R+18.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 18: R+18.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 19: R+18.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 20: R+17.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 21: R+17.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 22: R+17.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 23: R+16.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 24: R+16.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 25: R+16.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 26: R+15.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 27: R+15.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 28: R+15.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 29: R+15.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 30: R+14.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 31: R+14.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 32: R+14.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 33: R+14.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 34: R+13.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 35: R+13.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 36: R+13.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 37: R+13.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 38: R+12.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 39: R+12.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 40: R+12.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 41: R+12.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 42: R+11.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 43: R+11.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 44: R+11.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 45: R+11.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 46: R+11 — Beckwith winsSimulation 47: R+10.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 48: R+10.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 49: R+10.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 50: R+10.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 51: R+9.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 52: R+9.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 53: R+9.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 54: R+9.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 55: R+9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 56: R+8.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 57: R+8.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 58: R+8.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 59: R+8.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 60: R+7.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 61: R+7.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 62: R+7.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 63: R+7.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 64: R+6.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 65: R+6.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 66: R+6.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 67: R+6.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 68: R+5.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 69: R+5.7 — Beckwith winsSimulation 70: R+5.4 — Beckwith winsSimulation 71: R+5.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 72: R+4.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 73: R+4.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 74: R+4.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 75: R+4.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 76: R+3.8 — Beckwith winsSimulation 77: R+3.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 78: R+3.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 79: R+2.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 80: R+2.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 81: R+2.3 — Beckwith winsSimulation 82: R+1.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 83: R+1.6 — Beckwith winsSimulation 84: R+1.2 — Beckwith winsSimulation 85: R+0.9 — Beckwith winsSimulation 86: R+0.5 — Beckwith winsSimulation 87: R+0.1 — Beckwith winsSimulation 88: D+0.4 — Salinas winsSimulation 89: D+0.8 — Salinas winsSimulation 90: D+1.3 — Salinas winsSimulation 91: D+1.8 — Salinas winsSimulation 92: D+2.3 — Salinas winsSimulation 93: D+3 — Salinas winsSimulation 94: D+3.6 — Salinas winsSimulation 95: D+4.4 — Salinas winsSimulation 96: D+5.3 — Salinas winsSimulation 97: D+6.3 — Salinas winsSimulation 98: D+7.6 — Salinas winsSimulation 99: D+9.5 — Salinas winsSimulation 100: D+13.2 — Salinas winsR+40R+30R+20R+10EvenD+10D+20
Salinas wins 13 of 100Beckwith wins 87

The forecast over time

One point a day
SalinasBeckwith
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Election DaySalinas 14%Beckwith 86%
Show the forecast as a table
DateSalinasBeckwithMargin
Sep 121%79%R+9.8
Sep 2220%80%R+9.5
Oct 1316%84%R+10.3
Oct 3014%86%R+10

The ratings

CNN
Likely RR+8.8

North C's 11th: Likely R. Watch the suburbs.

FOX News
Likely RR+13.1

Likely R in North C's 11th. Beckwith has the momentum on the economy.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
North C 11thR+9100%R+10

The candidates

Malik SalinasDemocratic · Candidate for North C's 11th District
43%favorable+1.5 up this week

The Democratic nominee for North C's 11th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Carlos Beckwith.

Carlos BeckwithRepublican · Incumbent
47%approve+0.2 up this week

Has represented North C's 11th District in the House since January 2021. Known at home for small-business loans; in Washington for housing costs. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Malik Salinas.

  • Small-business loans
  • Housing costs

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 7:30 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.