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State · the Union

New A

Lean D+9Parody

The State of New A — the Governor’s jurisdiction; owns the Metro.

Partisan lean
D+9
Turnout-weighted, five boroughs
Governor
Democratic
Kathy Hochul · 51% approve
Senate
2 D · 0 R
Kessler · Osei
House
5 D · 4 R
9 seats

On the ballot

November 3, 2026
Governor · New A
Kathy HochulD · Incumbent89%
Bruce BlakemanR11%
D+9.6Likely D

The ratings

  • New A modelFundamentals, the news and 4 polls (average D+8.7)D+9.6Likely D
  • PIX 11 Long IslandWatch the island early. If Blakeman doesn't run up R+9 or better out here, call it a night.D+7.5Lean D
  • New A 1Borough by borough: Hochul carries 3 of 5. Long Island is where the night turns.D+10.5Likely D
  • CNNLikely D — Hochul up 11. Our decision desk will be watching the late count closely.D+10.9Likely D
  • FOX NewsLean D. The coastal pundits have Hochul cruising — the kitchen-table numbers say otherwise.D+6.6Lean D

Who represents New A

Approval moves with news about New A

House delegation

9 seats · every seat is up Nov 3, 2026

House races

Forecast for every seat · open seats marked

Stories that moved New A's officials

Effect today, after decay

Former officials