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U.S. Representative for New A's 6th District · The BX
U.S. Representative for New A's 6th District · November 3, 2026Safe D

Zubiri is all but certain to win another term

Imani ZubiriDemocratic · Incumbent
>99%chance of winning
Gloria MoriRepublican · Challenger
<1%chance of winning
Zubiri 64.7%Projected vote · D+31.5 ± 9.0Mori 33.3%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+8.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 2: D+12 — Zubiri winsSimulation 3: D+13.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 4: D+15.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 5: D+16.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 6: D+17.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 7: D+17.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 8: D+18.5 — Zubiri winsSimulation 9: D+19.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 10: D+19.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 11: D+20.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 12: D+20.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 13: D+21.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 14: D+21.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 15: D+22 — Zubiri winsSimulation 16: D+22.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 17: D+22.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 18: D+23.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 19: D+23.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 20: D+23.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 21: D+24.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 22: D+24.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 23: D+24.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 24: D+25 — Zubiri winsSimulation 25: D+25.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 26: D+25.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 27: D+25.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 28: D+26.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 29: D+26.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 30: D+26.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 31: D+26.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 32: D+27.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 33: D+27.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 34: D+27.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 35: D+27.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 36: D+28.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 37: D+28.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 38: D+28.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 39: D+28.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 40: D+29.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 41: D+29.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 42: D+29.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 43: D+29.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 44: D+30 — Zubiri winsSimulation 45: D+30.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 46: D+30.5 — Zubiri winsSimulation 47: D+30.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 48: D+30.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 49: D+31.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 50: D+31.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 51: D+31.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 52: D+31.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 53: D+32.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 54: D+32.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 55: D+32.5 — Zubiri winsSimulation 56: D+32.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 57: D+33 — Zubiri winsSimulation 58: D+33.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 59: D+33.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 60: D+33.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 61: D+33.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 62: D+34.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 63: D+34.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 64: D+34.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 65: D+34.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 66: D+35.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 67: D+35.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 68: D+35.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 69: D+35.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 70: D+36.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 71: D+36.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 72: D+36.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 73: D+36.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 74: D+37.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 75: D+37.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 76: D+37.7 — Zubiri winsSimulation 77: D+38 — Zubiri winsSimulation 78: D+38.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 79: D+38.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 80: D+38.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 81: D+39.2 — Zubiri winsSimulation 82: D+39.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 83: D+39.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 84: D+40.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 85: D+40.6 — Zubiri winsSimulation 86: D+41 — Zubiri winsSimulation 87: D+41.4 — Zubiri winsSimulation 88: D+41.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 89: D+42.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 90: D+42.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 91: D+43.3 — Zubiri winsSimulation 92: D+43.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 93: D+44.5 — Zubiri winsSimulation 94: D+45.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 95: D+45.9 — Zubiri winsSimulation 96: D+46.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 97: D+47.8 — Zubiri winsSimulation 98: D+49.1 — Zubiri winsSimulation 99: D+51 — Zubiri winsSimulation 100: D+54.7 — Zubiri winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40D+50D+60
Zubiri wins 100 of 100Mori wins 0

The forecast over time

One point a day
ZubiriMori
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Zubiri >99%Mori <1%
  1. Sep 14New A 1 poll, borough by borough: Hochul leads by 11 — Man A and The BX carry her, Long Island and New S do notD+0.3
Show the forecast as a table
DateZubiriMoriMargin
Sep 1>99%<1%D+32.1
Sep 22>99%<1%D+32
Oct 13>99%<1%D+31.2
Oct 30>99%<1%D+31.5

The ratings

PIX 11 Long Island
Safe DD+31.4

Safe D. Zubiri by about 31 in New A's 6th — closer than the yard signs suggest.

New A 1
Safe DD+31.5

New A's 6th: Safe D. Zubiri leads by about 32.

CNN
Safe DD+33.3

Safe D in New A's 6th; Zubiri is favored by our team.

FOX News
Safe DD+28.4

New A's 6th: Safe D. Don't believe the coastal polls.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
The BXD+26100%D+31.5

The candidates

Imani ZubiriDemocratic · Incumbent
50%approve0.0 unchanged this week

Has represented New A's 6th District (The BX) in the House since April 2026. Won the April 14, 2026 special election for the district, redrawn around The BX after it became a borough on January 27, 2026. Known at home for the local port; in Washington for the hospital merger. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Gloria Mori.

  • The local port
  • The hospital merger
Gloria MoriRepublican · Candidate for New A's 6th District
42%favorable−0.5 down this week

The Republican nominee for New A's 6th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Imani Zubiri.

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 9:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.