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State · the Union

New J

Lean D+6

The Garden State.

Partisan lean
D+6
How the state votes in a neutral year
Governor
Democratic
Elena Marchetti · 54% approve
Senate
2 D · 0 R
Feldstein · Quintero
House
9 D · 3 R
12 seats

On the ballot

November 3, 2026
Senate · New J
Hannah FeldsteinD · Incumbent94%
Brett LyndonR6%
D+11.9Likely D

The ratings

  • New A modelFundamentals, approval and the newsD+11.9Likely D
  • CNNLikely D. Feldstein leads by about 14 in New J.D+13.8Likely D
  • FOX NewsLikely D. New J voters care about prices, not pundits.D+10.1Likely D

Who represents New J

Approval moves with news about New J
Governor of New J

Elena Marchetti

Democratic · since Jan 20, 2026 · term ends Jan 15, 2030
54%+0.7 up this week
Next election Nov 6, 2029
Junior U.S. Senator · Class 2

Hannah Feldstein

Democratic · since Jan 3, 2021 · term ends Jan 3, 2027
49%−0.4 down this week
On the ballot · Likely D
Senior U.S. Senator · Class 1

Victor Quintero

Democratic · since Jan 3, 2019 · term ends Jan 3, 2031
47%+0.3 up this week
Next election Nov 5, 2030

House delegation

12 seats · every seat is up Nov 3, 2026
Carmen LisowskiNJ-1D45%−0.1 down this weekSafe DCarlos OlivaresNJ-2R51%−1.1 down this weekLean RAndrea WainwrightNJ-3D43%+0.4 up this weekLikely DReggie GalvezNJ-4R54%+0.7 up this weekSafe RDeepa HarrowNJ-5D54%−0.5 down this weekLikely DQuentin DabrowskiNJ-6D42%−0.5 down this weekLikely DNadia DuchesneNJ-7R48%−0.3 down this weekLean RTobias QuarlesNJ-8D53%−1.5 down this weekSafe DLaura EscalanteNJ-9D47%+1.8 up this weekTerm ends Jan 3, 2027Alicia PrendergastNJ-10D46%−0.3 down this weekSafe DBenjamin VarelaNJ-11D48%−0.7 down this weekLikely DNoor KasprzakNJ-12D49%0.0 unchanged this weekSafe D

House races

Forecast for every seat · open seats marked
House · New J 1st
Carmen LisowskiD · Incumbent>99%
Kara NakagawaR<1%
D+25.6Safe D
House · New J 2nd
Sean FogartyD19%
Carlos OlivaresR · Incumbent81%
R+7.8Lean R
House · New J 3rd
Andrea WainwrightD · Incumbent84%
Margaret CvetkovicR16%
D+8.8Likely D
House · New J 4th
Tobias LindqvistD2%
Reggie GalvezR · Incumbent98%
R+19.3Safe R
House · New J 5th
Deepa HarrowD · Incumbent86%
Irene LeandroR14%
D+9.6Likely D
House · New J 6th
Quentin DabrowskiD · Incumbent94%
Darius ZunigaR6%
D+14.4Likely D
House · New J 7th
Carmen JessupD37%
Nadia DuchesneR · Incumbent63%
R+3.1Lean R
House · New J 8th
Tobias QuarlesD · Incumbent>99%
Gordon FairchildR<1%
D+32.9Safe D
House · New J 9thOpen seat
Ruth MagnussonD70%
Kendra BergeronR30%
D+4.8Lean D
House · New J 10th
Alicia PrendergastD · Incumbent>99%
Kara RaffertyR<1%
D+45Safe D
House · New J 11th
Benjamin VarelaD · Incumbent93%
Nathan DuarteR7%
D+13.1Likely D
House · New J 12th
Noor KasprzakD · Incumbent>99%
Andrea SolanoR<1%
D+25.2Safe D

Stories that moved New J's officials

Effect today, after decay