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U.S. Senator for New J
U.S. Senator for New J · November 3, 2026Likely D

Feldstein is clearly favored to win another term

Hannah FeldsteinDemocratic · Incumbent
94%chance of winning
Brett LyndonRepublican · Challenger
6%chance of winning
Feldstein 54.9%Projected vote · D+11.9 ± 7.9Lyndon 43.1%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+8.4 — Lyndon winsSimulation 2: R+5.2 — Lyndon winsSimulation 3: R+3.6 — Lyndon winsSimulation 4: R+2.4 — Lyndon winsSimulation 5: R+1.5 — Lyndon winsSimulation 6: R+0.7 — Lyndon winsSimulation 7: R+0.1 — Lyndon winsSimulation 8: D+0.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 9: D+1.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 10: D+1.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 11: D+2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 12: D+2.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 13: D+2.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 14: D+3.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 15: D+3.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 16: D+3.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 17: D+4.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 18: D+4.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 19: D+4.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 20: D+5.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 21: D+5.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 22: D+5.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 23: D+5.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 24: D+6.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 25: D+6.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 26: D+6.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 27: D+6.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 28: D+7.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 29: D+7.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 30: D+7.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 31: D+7.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 32: D+8.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 33: D+8.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 34: D+8.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 35: D+8.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 36: D+9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 37: D+9.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 38: D+9.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 39: D+9.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 40: D+9.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 41: D+10 — Feldstein winsSimulation 42: D+10.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 43: D+10.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 44: D+10.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 45: D+10.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 46: D+11 — Feldstein winsSimulation 47: D+11.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 48: D+11.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 49: D+11.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 50: D+11.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 51: D+12 — Feldstein winsSimulation 52: D+12.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 53: D+12.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 54: D+12.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 55: D+12.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 56: D+13 — Feldstein winsSimulation 57: D+13.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 58: D+13.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 59: D+13.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 60: D+13.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 61: D+14 — Feldstein winsSimulation 62: D+14.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 63: D+14.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 64: D+14.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 65: D+14.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 66: D+15.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 67: D+15.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 68: D+15.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 69: D+15.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 70: D+15.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 71: D+16.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 72: D+16.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 73: D+16.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 74: D+16.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 75: D+17.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 76: D+17.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 77: D+17.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 78: D+17.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 79: D+18.1 — Feldstein winsSimulation 80: D+18.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 81: D+18.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 82: D+19 — Feldstein winsSimulation 83: D+19.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 84: D+19.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 85: D+19.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 86: D+20.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 87: D+20.6 — Feldstein winsSimulation 88: D+21 — Feldstein winsSimulation 89: D+21.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 90: D+21.8 — Feldstein winsSimulation 91: D+22.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 92: D+22.7 — Feldstein winsSimulation 93: D+23.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 94: D+23.9 — Feldstein winsSimulation 95: D+24.5 — Feldstein winsSimulation 96: D+25.3 — Feldstein winsSimulation 97: D+26.2 — Feldstein winsSimulation 98: D+27.4 — Feldstein winsSimulation 99: D+29 — Feldstein winsSimulation 100: D+32.2 — Feldstein winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40
Feldstein wins 93 of 100Lyndon wins 7

The forecast over time

One point a day
FeldsteinLyndon
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Feldstein 94%Lyndon 6%
Show the forecast as a table
DateFeldsteinLyndonMargin
Sep 188%12%D+12.3
Sep 889%11%D+12.5
Sep 1589%11%D+12.4
Sep 2290%10%D+12.3
Sep 2990%10%D+12.2
Oct 691%9%D+12.2
Oct 1390%10%D+11.6
Oct 2092%8%D+11.9
Oct 2793%7%D+12.3
Oct 3094%6%D+11.9

The ratings

CNN
Likely DD+13.8

Likely D. Feldstein leads by about 14 in New J.

FOX News
Likely DD+10.1

Likely D. New J voters care about prices, not pundits.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
New JD+6100%D+11.9

The candidates

Hannah FeldsteinDemocratic · Incumbent
49%approve−0.4 down this week

New J's junior senator since January 2021. First elected in 2020. A former county prosecutor who made her name on consumer protection and commuter fares. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Brett Lyndon.

  • Cap commuter fares
  • Consumer protection
  • Shore resilience
Brett LyndonRepublican · Candidate for the U.S. Senate in New J
41%favorable+0.4 up this week

A former county executive. The Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in New J on November 3, 2026, against Senator Hannah Feldstein.

  • Lower taxes
  • Repeal the commuter surcharge
  • Energy

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±7.9 points.