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U.S. Representative for New J's 6th District
U.S. Representative for New J's 6th District · November 3, 2026Likely D

Dabrowski is clearly favored to win another term

Quentin DabrowskiDemocratic · Incumbent
94%chance of winning
Darius ZunigaRepublican · Challenger
6%chance of winning
Dabrowski 56.2%Projected vote · D+14.4 ± 9.0Zuniga 41.8%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+8.8 — Zuniga winsSimulation 2: R+5.1 — Zuniga winsSimulation 3: R+3.2 — Zuniga winsSimulation 4: R+1.9 — Zuniga winsSimulation 5: R+0.9 — Zuniga winsSimulation 6: Even — Dabrowski winsSimulation 7: D+0.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 8: D+1.4 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 9: D+2.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 10: D+2.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 11: D+3.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 12: D+3.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 13: D+4 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 14: D+4.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 15: D+4.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 16: D+5.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 17: D+5.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 18: D+6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 19: D+6.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 20: D+6.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 21: D+7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 22: D+7.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 23: D+7.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 24: D+7.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 25: D+8.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 26: D+8.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 27: D+8.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 28: D+9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 29: D+9.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 30: D+9.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 31: D+9.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 32: D+10.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 33: D+10.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 34: D+10.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 35: D+10.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 36: D+11.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 37: D+11.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 38: D+11.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 39: D+11.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 40: D+12 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 41: D+12.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 42: D+12.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 43: D+12.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 44: D+12.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 45: D+13.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 46: D+13.4 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 47: D+13.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 48: D+13.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 49: D+14.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 50: D+14.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 51: D+14.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 52: D+14.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 53: D+15 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 54: D+15.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 55: D+15.4 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 56: D+15.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 57: D+15.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 58: D+16.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 59: D+16.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 60: D+16.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 61: D+16.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 62: D+17 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 63: D+17.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 64: D+17.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 65: D+17.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 66: D+18 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 67: D+18.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 68: D+18.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 69: D+18.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 70: D+19 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 71: D+19.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 72: D+19.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 73: D+19.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 74: D+20.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 75: D+20.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 76: D+20.6 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 77: D+20.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 78: D+21.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 79: D+21.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 80: D+21.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 81: D+22.1 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 82: D+22.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 83: D+22.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 84: D+23.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 85: D+23.5 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 86: D+23.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 87: D+24.3 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 88: D+24.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 89: D+25.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 90: D+25.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 91: D+26.2 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 92: D+26.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 93: D+27.4 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 94: D+28 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 95: D+28.8 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 96: D+29.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 97: D+30.7 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 98: D+32 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 99: D+33.9 — Dabrowski winsSimulation 100: D+37.6 — Dabrowski winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40
Dabrowski wins 95 of 100Zuniga wins 5

The forecast over time

One point a day
DabrowskiZuniga
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Dabrowski 94%Zuniga 6%
Show the forecast as a table
DateDabrowskiZunigaMargin
Sep 190%10%D+14.9
Sep 2291%9%D+15.2
Oct 1392%8%D+14.4
Oct 3094%6%D+14.4

The ratings

CNN
Safe DD+15.7

New J's 6th: Safe D. Watch the suburbs.

FOX News
Likely DD+11.5

Likely D. New J's 6th voters care about prices, not pundits.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
New J 6thD+10100%D+14.4

The candidates

Quentin DabrowskiDemocratic · Incumbent
42%approve−0.5 down this week

Has represented New J's 6th District in the House since January 2025. Known at home for the commuter line; in Washington for child care. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Darius Zuniga.

  • The commuter line
  • Child care
Darius ZunigaRepublican · Candidate for New J's 6th District
39%favorable−0.6 down this week

The Republican nominee for New J's 6th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Quentin Dabrowski.

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.