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Mayor of Washington D.C.

Mayor of Washington D.C. · November 3, 2026Open seatSafe D

Whitlock is all but certain to win

Andre WhitlockDemocratic · Challenger

>99%chance of winning

Gregory PallasRepublican · Challenger

<1%chance of winning

>99%

Whitlock 92.6%Projected vote · D+87.2 ± 7.9Pallas 5.4%

Each dot is one simulated election

Whitlock wins 100 of 100Pallas wins 0

The forecast over time

One point a day

Show the forecast as a table

Date	Whitlock	Pallas	Margin
Sep 1	>99%	<1%	D+87
Sep 8	>99%	<1%	D+87.1
Sep 15	>99%	<1%	D+87
Sep 22	>99%	<1%	D+87.1
Sep 29	>99%	<1%	D+86.9
Oct 6	>99%	<1%	D+86.9
Oct 13	>99%	<1%	D+86.8
Oct 20	>99%	<1%	D+86.9
Oct 27	>99%	<1%	D+86.8
Oct 30	>99%	<1%	D+87.2

The ratings

CNNCNN

Safe DD+89

Safe D in Washington D.C.; Whitlock is favored by our team.

FOXFOX News

Safe DD+83.7

Washington D.C.: Safe D. Don't believe the coastal polls.

Where the votes are

Area	Lean	Share of vote	Projected
Washington D.C.	D+84	100%	D+87.2

The candidates

Open seat: Lillian Haywood (D) is not running

Andre WhitlockDemocratic · Candidate for Mayor of Washington D.C.

50%favorable−0.6 down this week

A D.C. Council member. The Democratic nominee for Mayor of Washington D.C. on November 3, 2026, against Gregory Pallas; the seat is open.

Housing for teachers and nurses
Safer Metro stations
Statehood

Gregory PallasRepublican · Candidate for Mayor of Washington D.C.

37%favorable+0.1 up this week

A small-business owner. The Republican nominee for Mayor of Washington D.C. on November 3, 2026, against Andre Whitlock; the seat is open.

Cut red tape
More police
Lower parking fines

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 8:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 2, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±7.9 points.