City of New A · An official portal of the New A city governmentAlert level: NormalMayor's Desk
EST · 2013New ABroadcast · Registry · Exchange
NASE · LIVE
NASEComposite1,105+1.44%JPMCJ.P. Morgan Chase254.40+0.73%APPLApple Inc.201.87+0.72%LVMHLouis Vuitton655.39+1.50%GMOTGeneral Motors93.22+2.37%VRZNVerizon43.16+2.07%@LIExecutiveKEYF+0.11%MCDSMcDonald's306.18+2.05%BOFABank of America46.96+0.52%ZAYSZAYS119.91+2.73%MSGNMSG Entertainment1,211+2.58%SLVRSilvernine Properties157.52+1.14%ANTHAnthropic244.66+3.41%JMSTJamestown L.P.268.70-1.22%FOXNFOX News56.70+0.64%CNNCNN25.68+1.83%VNDRVanderbilt Industries88.85-0.01%TRAXTrax Jewelers192.13-0.61%NARENew A Real Estate224.22+1.83%JDSDJDS Development Group422.20+0.63%TSXTSX Entertainment173.82+2.63%GFPRGFP Real Estate738.07+2.06%CRAYCray Industries168.35+2.70%TRGLTriangle Equities296.48+2.67%TRMPTrump Organization154.53+4.29%MSPNMeridian Span Constructors106.87-0.07%OPGSOP Gas106.63+2.73%MDSNMadison Broadcasting91.97-0.71%TTRETwo Trees Management121.45+1.33%JNRSJuniors66.45+2.55%MIREMadison International Realty74.94+2.37%PETCPetco3.09+1.22%KEYFKey Food98.40+1.93%NA1New A 133.23-0.27%RGNLOriginal Pizza Inc.83.04+1.77%
Play New A · Minecraft server newacity.net · opening soon — add it nowHow to join →
U.S. Representative for V Beach's 11th District
U.S. Representative for V Beach's 11th District · November 3, 2026Safe D

Mbatha is all but certain to win another term

Lucia MbathaDemocratic · Incumbent
>99%chance of winning
Deepa HartiganRepublican · Challenger
<1%chance of winning
Mbatha 67.1%Projected vote · D+36.2 ± 9.0Hartigan 30.9%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+13 — Mbatha winsSimulation 2: D+16.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 3: D+18.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 4: D+19.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 5: D+20.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 6: D+21.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 7: D+22.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 8: D+23.2 — Mbatha winsSimulation 9: D+23.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 10: D+24.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 11: D+24.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 12: D+25.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 13: D+25.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 14: D+26.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 15: D+26.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 16: D+27.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 17: D+27.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 18: D+27.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 19: D+28.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 20: D+28.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 21: D+28.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 22: D+29.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 23: D+29.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 24: D+29.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 25: D+30 — Mbatha winsSimulation 26: D+30.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 27: D+30.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 28: D+30.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 29: D+31.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 30: D+31.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 31: D+31.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 32: D+31.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 33: D+32.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 34: D+32.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 35: D+32.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 36: D+32.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 37: D+33.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 38: D+33.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 39: D+33.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 40: D+33.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 41: D+34 — Mbatha winsSimulation 42: D+34.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 43: D+34.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 44: D+34.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 45: D+35 — Mbatha winsSimulation 46: D+35.2 — Mbatha winsSimulation 47: D+35.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 48: D+35.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 49: D+35.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 50: D+36.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 51: D+36.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 52: D+36.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 53: D+36.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 54: D+37 — Mbatha winsSimulation 55: D+37.2 — Mbatha winsSimulation 56: D+37.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 57: D+37.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 58: D+37.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 59: D+38.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 60: D+38.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 61: D+38.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 62: D+38.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 63: D+39.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 64: D+39.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 65: D+39.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 66: D+39.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 67: D+40 — Mbatha winsSimulation 68: D+40.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 69: D+40.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 70: D+40.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 71: D+41 — Mbatha winsSimulation 72: D+41.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 73: D+41.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 74: D+41.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 75: D+42.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 76: D+42.4 — Mbatha winsSimulation 77: D+42.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 78: D+43 — Mbatha winsSimulation 79: D+43.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 80: D+43.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 81: D+43.9 — Mbatha winsSimulation 82: D+44.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 83: D+44.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 84: D+45 — Mbatha winsSimulation 85: D+45.3 — Mbatha winsSimulation 86: D+45.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 87: D+46.1 — Mbatha winsSimulation 88: D+46.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 89: D+47 — Mbatha winsSimulation 90: D+47.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 91: D+48 — Mbatha winsSimulation 92: D+48.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 93: D+49.2 — Mbatha winsSimulation 94: D+49.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 95: D+50.6 — Mbatha winsSimulation 96: D+51.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 97: D+52.5 — Mbatha winsSimulation 98: D+53.8 — Mbatha winsSimulation 99: D+55.7 — Mbatha winsSimulation 100: D+59.4 — Mbatha winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40D+50D+60
Mbatha wins 100 of 100Hartigan wins 0

The forecast over time

One point a day
MbathaHartigan
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Mbatha >99%Hartigan <1%
Show the forecast as a table
DateMbathaHartiganMargin
Sep 1>99%<1%D+36.6
Sep 22>99%<1%D+36.6
Oct 13>99%<1%D+35.6
Oct 30>99%<1%D+36.2

The ratings

CNN
Safe DD+38.4

Safe D in V Beach's 11th; Mbatha is favored by our team.

FOX News
Safe DD+34.1

Safe D. V Beach's 11th voters care about prices, not pundits.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
V Beach 11thD+30100%D+36.2

The candidates

Lucia MbathaDemocratic · Incumbent
54%approve+0.9 up this week

Has represented V Beach's 11th District in the House since January 2023. Known at home for public safety grants; in Washington for transit money for the district. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Deepa Hartigan.

  • Public safety grants
  • Transit money for the district
Deepa HartiganRepublican · Candidate for V Beach's 11th District
42%favorable−1.4 down this week

The Republican nominee for V Beach's 11th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Lucia Mbatha.

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 7:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.