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U.S. Representative for V Beach's 10th District
U.S. Representative for V Beach's 10th District · November 3, 2026Likely D

Dasgupta is clearly favored to win another term

Desmond DasguptaDemocratic · Incumbent
94%chance of winning
Nathan TanakaRepublican · Challenger
6%chance of winning
Dasgupta 56.1%Projected vote · D+14.1 ± 9.0Tanaka 41.9%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: R+9.1 — Tanaka winsSimulation 2: R+5.4 — Tanaka winsSimulation 3: R+3.5 — Tanaka winsSimulation 4: R+2.2 — Tanaka winsSimulation 5: R+1.2 — Tanaka winsSimulation 6: R+0.3 — Tanaka winsSimulation 7: D+0.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 8: D+1.1 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 9: D+1.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 10: D+2.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 11: D+2.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 12: D+3.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 13: D+3.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 14: D+4.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 15: D+4.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 16: D+5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 17: D+5.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 18: D+5.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 19: D+6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 20: D+6.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 21: D+6.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 22: D+7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 23: D+7.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 24: D+7.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 25: D+7.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 26: D+8.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 27: D+8.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 28: D+8.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 29: D+9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 30: D+9.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 31: D+9.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 32: D+9.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 33: D+10 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 34: D+10.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 35: D+10.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 36: D+10.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 37: D+11 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 38: D+11.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 39: D+11.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 40: D+11.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 41: D+11.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 42: D+12.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 43: D+12.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 44: D+12.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 45: D+12.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 46: D+13.1 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 47: D+13.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 48: D+13.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 49: D+13.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 50: D+14 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 51: D+14.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 52: D+14.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 53: D+14.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 54: D+14.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 55: D+15.1 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 56: D+15.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 57: D+15.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 58: D+15.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 59: D+16 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 60: D+16.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 61: D+16.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 62: D+16.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 63: D+17 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 64: D+17.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 65: D+17.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 66: D+17.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 67: D+17.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 68: D+18.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 69: D+18.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 70: D+18.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 71: D+18.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 72: D+19.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 73: D+19.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 74: D+19.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 75: D+20 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 76: D+20.3 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 77: D+20.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 78: D+20.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 79: D+21.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 80: D+21.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 81: D+21.8 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 82: D+22.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 83: D+22.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 84: D+22.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 85: D+23.2 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 86: D+23.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 87: D+24 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 88: D+24.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 89: D+24.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 90: D+25.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 91: D+25.9 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 92: D+26.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 93: D+27.1 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 94: D+27.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 95: D+28.5 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 96: D+29.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 97: D+30.4 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 98: D+31.7 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 99: D+33.6 — Dasgupta winsSimulation 100: D+37.3 — Dasgupta winsR+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+40
Dasgupta wins 94 of 100Tanaka wins 6

The forecast over time

One point a day
DasguptaTanaka
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27Dasgupta 94%Tanaka 6%
Show the forecast as a table
DateDasguptaTanakaMargin
Sep 189%11%D+14.7
Sep 2291%9%D+15
Oct 1391%9%D+13.7
Oct 3094%6%D+14.1

The ratings

CNN
Safe DD+16.3

V Beach's 10th: Safe D. Watch the suburbs.

FOX News
Likely DD+11.6

Likely D in V Beach's 10th. Tanaka has the momentum on the economy.

Where the votes are

AreaLeanShare of voteProjected
V Beach 10thD+9100%D+14.1

The candidates

Desmond DasguptaDemocratic · Incumbent
52%approve−0.5 down this week

Has represented V Beach's 10th District in the House since January 2021. Known at home for the hospital merger; in Washington for the local port. Seeking another term on November 3, 2026, against Nathan Tanaka.

  • The hospital merger
  • The local port
Nathan TanakaRepublican · Candidate for V Beach's 10th District
45%favorable+0.8 up this week

The Republican nominee for V Beach's 10th District on November 3, 2026, against Rep. Desmond Dasgupta.

Election November 3, 2026 · polls close 7:00 PM New A time · the winner takes office Jan 3, 2027. Forecast uncertainty today: ±9.0 points.