U.S. Representative for South C's 6th District · November 3, 2026 Safe D
Merritt is all but certain to win another term
Malik Merritt Democratic · Incumbent
>99% chance of winning
Vikram Mackintosh Republican · Challenger
<1% chance of winning
>99%
Merritt 61.9% Projected vote · D+25.9 ± 9.0 Mackintosh 36.1%
Each dot is one simulated election
Simulation 1: D+2.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 2: D+6.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 3: D+8.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 4: D+9.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 5: D+10.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 6: D+11.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 7: D+12.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 8: D+12.9 — Merritt wins Simulation 9: D+13.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 10: D+14.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 11: D+14.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 12: D+15.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 13: D+15.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 14: D+16 — Merritt wins Simulation 15: D+16.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 16: D+16.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 17: D+17.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 18: D+17.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 19: D+17.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 20: D+18.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 21: D+18.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 22: D+18.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 23: D+19.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 24: D+19.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 25: D+19.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 26: D+20 — Merritt wins Simulation 27: D+20.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 28: D+20.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 29: D+20.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 30: D+21.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 31: D+21.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 32: D+21.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 33: D+21.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 34: D+22.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 35: D+22.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 36: D+22.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 37: D+22.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 38: D+23 — Merritt wins Simulation 39: D+23.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 40: D+23.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 41: D+23.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 42: D+24 — Merritt wins Simulation 43: D+24.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 44: D+24.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 45: D+24.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 46: D+24.9 — Merritt wins Simulation 47: D+25.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 48: D+25.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 49: D+25.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 50: D+25.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 51: D+26 — Merritt wins Simulation 52: D+26.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 53: D+26.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 54: D+26.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 55: D+26.9 — Merritt wins Simulation 56: D+27.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 57: D+27.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 58: D+27.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 59: D+27.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 60: D+28.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 61: D+28.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 62: D+28.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 63: D+28.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 64: D+29 — Merritt wins Simulation 65: D+29.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 66: D+29.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 67: D+29.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 68: D+30 — Merritt wins Simulation 69: D+30.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 70: D+30.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 71: D+30.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 72: D+31 — Merritt wins Simulation 73: D+31.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 74: D+31.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 75: D+31.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 76: D+32.1 — Merritt wins Simulation 77: D+32.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 78: D+32.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 79: D+33 — Merritt wins Simulation 80: D+33.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 81: D+33.6 — Merritt wins Simulation 82: D+34 — Merritt wins Simulation 83: D+34.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 84: D+34.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 85: D+35 — Merritt wins Simulation 86: D+35.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 87: D+35.8 — Merritt wins Simulation 88: D+36.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 89: D+36.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 90: D+37.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 91: D+37.7 — Merritt wins Simulation 92: D+38.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 93: D+38.9 — Merritt wins Simulation 94: D+39.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 95: D+40.3 — Merritt wins Simulation 96: D+41.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 97: D+42.2 — Merritt wins Simulation 98: D+43.5 — Merritt wins Simulation 99: D+45.4 — Merritt wins Simulation 100: D+49.1 — Merritt wins R+10 Even D+10 D+20 D+30 D+40 D+50 Merritt wins 100 of 100Mackintosh wins 0